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UK Politics
Outrights
UK
Conservative Party Seats - Next General Election
50 - 99
2.10
100 - 149
2.38
150 - 199
6.50
0 - 49
11.00
200 - 249
26.00
250 - 299
41.00
300 - 349
101.00
400 or more
101.00
350 - 399
101.00
Conservative Seat Losses (compared to 2019 figure of 365) - Next General Election
201 or more seat losses
1.08
151-200 seat losses
8.00
101-150 seat losses
26.00
51-100 seat losses
34.00
1-50 seat losses
34.00
No Losses
101.00
Conservative v Reform UK Vote share match bet
Conservative
1.14
Reform UK
4.50
Conservatives Over/Under 99.5 Seats
100 Seats or more
1.73
99 seats or less
1.91
Election Winner
Conservative
1.10
Liberal Democrats
6.00
Reform UK
21.00
Government after Next Election (First New Cabinet)
Labour Majority
1.01
Cons/Reform UK Coalition
41.00
Labour Minority
51.00
Reform UK Majority
51.00
Lab/LD Coalition
67.00
Conservatives Majority
126.00
Lib Dem Minority
151.00
LD/SNP Coalition
201.00
Liberal Democrat majority
201.00
Lab/LD/SNP Coalition
201.00
Show More
Labour Over/Under 418.5 Seats
419 seats or more
1.22
418 seats or less
3.50
Liberal Democrats Over/Under 40.5 Seats
41 Seats or more
1.08
40 Seats or less
6.00
Liberal Democrats Over/Under 59.5 Seats
60 Seats or more
1.67
59 Seats or less
2.00
Most Seats - Next General Election
Labour
Reform UK
101.00
Conservatives
151.00
Greens
151.00
Liberal Democrats
201.00
Most Seats in Scotland - Next General Election
Labour
1.10
SNP
5.50
Liberal Democrat
101.00
Conservative
101.00
Next Permanent Conservative Leader after Rishi Sunak
Kemi Badenoch
5.00
Priti Patel
6.00
Tom Tugendhat
6.00
Penny Mordaunt
7.50
Suella Braverman
10.00
James Cleverly
11.00
Nigel Farage
13.00
Robert Jenrick
15.00
Boris Johnson
21.00
David Cameron
26.00
Show More
Next Permanent Labour Leader after Keir Starmer
Andy Burnham
8.00
Wes Streeting
8.50
Rachel Reeves
9.00
Yvette Cooper
10.00
Lisa Nandy
11.00
Bridget Phillipson
15.00
Angela Rayner
17.00
Luke Pollard
26.00
Tulip Siddiq
26.00
Sadiq Khan
26.00
Show More
Overall Majority
Labour Majority
1.01
No Overall Majority
21.00
Reform UK Majority
81.00
Conservative Majority
151.00
Liberal Democrat majority
201.00
Party Seats After Next Election
450-499
1.83
400-449
2.38
350-399
8.00
500 or more
15.00
300-349
19.00
250-299
51.00
200-249
101.00
150-199
201.00
149 or less
251.00
Party Seats After Next Election
140 seats or less
1.14
141 Seats or more
4.50
Party Seats After Next Election
7 or more
2.63
1-2
3.50
3-4
4.33
5-6
6.00
0
9.00
Prime Minister after Rishi Sunak
Keir Starmer
Suella Braverman
26.00
Kemi Badenoch
26.00
Boris Johnson
36.00
Andy Burnham
51.00
Penny Mordaunt
56.00
Nigel Farage
56.00
Steve Barclay
61.00
James Cleverly
61.00
David Cameron
67.00
Show More
Reform UK Over/Under 4.5 Seats
5 Seats Or More
1.80
4 Seats or Less
1.83
SNP Over/Under 19.5 Seats
19 seats or less
1.57
20 Seats or More
2.10
Voter Turnout - Banded
67.50 - 69.99%
9.00
70.00 - 72.49%
21.00
65.00 - 67.49%
6.50
54.99% or less
9.00
60.00 - 62.49%
4.00
57.50 - 59.99%
7.00
62.50 - 64.99%
3.25
75.00% or more
34.00
55.00 - 57.49%
8.50
72.50 - 74.99%
41.00
Voter Turnout - Over/Under 64.5%
64.50% or over
3.25
64.49% or under
1.25
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