Pakenham

Today, October 18, 2024Flat5f

Verdict

ILLATIVE (5) has always had a big boom on her and maybe hasn't quite delivered, but she's got ability and ran well enough fresh without winning at Geelong, finishing second as a $1.80 favourite. She did have some slight issues there too and getting to Pakenham where she won her maiden, she should prove hard to beat. TIZ TIME (4) is lightly raced and progressive and did beat a good one here last year. SAUFIANA (7) was okay fresh and will be fitter. Can figure in the finish. CAPRICORN STAR (11) resumes and must be respected fresh.

5. Illative
4. Tiz Time
7. Saufiana

Win Only

5. 5. Illative
J: BEAU MERTENST: MICK PRICE & MICHAEL KENT JNR
F: 210x2
Price History:
2.63
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
22
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Geelong Bm64 on September 26 over 1147m, slow going 2 len behind Chinqui with 58.5kg at $1.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at Flemington 3yo F Hcp on March 2 over 1100m, nose behind Diamond Decorator carrying 54kg at $9. Fitter and will take plenty of beating.
7. 7. Saufiana
J: SALLY WYNNET: ADAM HANLEY
F: 145x4
Price History:
4.75
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
19
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after four months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Mornington F&M Bm64 on September 29 over 1200m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Girl with 61kg at $3.30. Previously second-up favourite; won by 1.75 len at Sale Bm58 May 5 over 1105m defeating Dollar Chaser with 60kg at $10. Fitter for that and in the mix here.
11. 11. Capricorn Star
J: JAMIE MOTTT: JULIUS SANDHU
F: 2213x
Price History:
7.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
168
Verdict
She is resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign third of 9 at Cranbourne Bm64 May 3 over 1400m, 2 len behind Vail Mountain carrying 57kg at $6.50. On debut seventh of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw February 15 over 1200m, 2.5 len behind Rampant Lion with 57kg at $6. Each way hope.
9. 9. Kusini
J: THOMAS STOCKDALET: CIARON MAHER
F: x9676
Price History:
9.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
At the latest run 6th of 12 at Coleraine Bm64 on September 27 over 1300m, on a slow track; 6 len behind He's Godspeed with 58.5kg at $8.50. The race before that 7th of 13 at Hamilton Bm58 on September 16 over 1100m, on heavy track; 4 len behind Grassmere Jewel carrying 59kg at $5. Comes into this in ordinary form. A win doesn’t look likely.
3. 3. Le Derriere
J: BRAD RAWILLERT: CHARLOTTE LITTLEFIELD
F: 27618
Price History:
10.00
Age:
6
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
37
Verdict
Comes off a 37 day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 10 at Sale Bm64 on September 11 over 1415m, 2 len behind Milbrae carrying 59.5kg at $8.50. Before that won by 1.3 len at Pakenham Synthetic Bm58 August 25 over 1400m defeating Amarysso carrying 60.5kg at $3.30. Won't find this any easier.
10. 10. Marxist
J: BLAIKE MCDOUGALLT: AARON LAING
F: 00x01
Price History:
12.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up ran last of 11 at Sandown-Hillside Bm64 on September 18 over 1000m, 10 len behind Mantua with 56kg at $101. Second-up won by a long-neck at Moe Bm58 September 30 over 1111m on a soft track defeating Deep Secret carrying 58.5kg at $19. This might be too rich.
13. 13. Snick
J: ZAC SPAINT: JOHN SADLER
F: 21127
Price History:
15.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
Last start eased back early on 7th of 13 at Ballarat 0 - 62 on October 3 over 1200m, 4 len behind Dry Fire carrying 56kg at $5.50. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Geelong 0 - 62 on September 26 over 1447m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Pride Of Galway with 56kg at $7.50. Not keen on her chances.
2. 2. Brookline
J: EMILY POZMANT: CHERYL WELLER
F: x495x
Price History:
17.00
Age:
6
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
84
Verdict
First-up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 10 at Geelong Bm64 July 26 over 1447m, soft track; 3 len behind Staunch with 60kg at $13. Previously first up; fourth of 11 at Bendigo Bm70 May 22 over 1300m, 0.6 len behind Subliminal with 57.5kg at $41. Others make more appeal.
15. 15. Lauras Gold
J: BEN ALLENT: MITCHELL LEEK
F: 719
Price History:
17.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
16
1. 1. Korobeiniki
J: MS DAKOTAH KEANET: N J HARNETT
F: 02866
Price History:
21.00
Age:
6
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
49
Verdict
Comes here off a 49-day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm64 on August 30 over 1600m, 3 len behind Carnival Row carrying 60.5kg at $8. The run before that eased back early on 6th of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 on August 4 over 2100m, slow going 6 len behind Parvati Party with 60kg at $15. Not sure she's going well enough.

Non-Runners

4. 4. Tiz Time
J: LUKE CARTWRIGHTT: LLOYD KENNEWELL & LUCY YEOMANS
F: 21x1x
Price History:
4.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
165
Verdict
Back after a long spell. Only had one start last campaign won by a long-neck at Werribee F&M Bm64 May 6 over 1100m on a soft track defeating Elba carrying 59.5kg at $6. First up last campaign 2nd in a small field at this track 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 13 2023 over 1200m, slow going long-neck behind Our Turn Now with 56kg at $16. Solid top-three prospects.
6. 6. Just Gisella
J: JORDAN CHILDST: MITCHELL FREEDMAN
F: 3170x
Price History:
9.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
335
12. 12. Pariah Engagement
J: PATRICK MOLONEYT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 1
Price History:
13.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
27
8. 8. Star Honour
J: ALANA KELLYT: MITCHELL FREEDMAN
F: 48724
Price History:
21.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
60
Verdict
Comes off a 60 day let-up. Last start eased back early on 4th in a small field at Pakenham Synthetic Bm70 on August 19 over 1200m, 2.5 len behind Lulu Darling with 55.5kg at $4. The race before that 2nd of 9 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm64 on August 6 over 1200m, 3 len behind Signal carrying 58.5kg at $6. Can't make much of a case.
14. 14. Zoomed
J: LOGAN BATEST: R GRIFFITHS & M DE KOCK
F: 6614x
Price History:
21.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
183
Verdict
Resuming. Finished off last campaign fourth of 10 at this track Bm58 April 18 over 1200m, soft track; 2.5 len behind Sirius Statement carrying 61kg at $4.50. On debut second of 8 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw February 13 over 1115m, 6 len behind Bonnie Amore with 57kg at $9.50. Looks a tough line-up and others preferred.
16. 16. Precast
J: KOBY JENNINGST: MICHAEL HUGLIN
F: 67726
Price History:
31.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Last start 6th of 10 at Moe Bm58 on September 30 over 1111m, slow going 3.5 len behind Marxist with 60kg at $12. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Bairnsdale F&M Bm58 on September 9 over 1200m, head behind Snick with 62kg at $13. Major player.

Pakenham

Bet Slip