Pakenham

Today, October 18, 2024Flat6fHeavy

Verdict

Open race. FLYING VALLEY (2) resumed with a smart win at Bendigo, running on well from midfield over 1300m to score by two lengths. He's fresh again for this, is still lightly raced and looks set to go on with the job. FLY LIE (1) tried hard two back and has been solid again since. He draws to sit closer now and rates a hope. PRIDE OF GALWAY (4) won an easier race at Geelong but did it well and wouldn't shock. RAMPANT LION (5) gets a bit of extra ground which will suit.

2. Flying Valley
1. Fly Lie
4. Pride Of Galway

Win Only

2. 2. Flying Valley
J: JAMIE MOTTT: JULIUS SANDHU
F: 093x1
Price History:
1.91
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
66
Days Since Last Run:
61
Verdict
Second-up. Comes off a 61-day let-up. First-up after five months ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at Bendigo Bm64 August 18 over 1300m on a soft track defeating Lika Swift with 59kg at $3.80. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw January 19 over 1300m in soft going defeating Steel Impact carrying 58kg at $6.50. No reason he cannot keep the ball rolling.
1. 1. Fly Lie
J: SARAH FIELDT: MITCHELL FREEDMAN
F: 17726
Price History:
3.25
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
67
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Useful gelding. At the latest run 6th of 12 at Ballarat Bm64 on October 3 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Laa De Sha with 58.5kg at $10. The start before that ran on strongly from last on the turn; 2nd of 11 at Seymour Bm64 on September 15 over 1425m, 1.75 len behind Superior Zara carrying 58.5kg at $6. Going okay and should run well.
5. 5. Rampant Lion
J: ZAC SPAINT: PETER G MOODY & KATHERINE COLEMAN
F: 38x89
Price History:
5.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up second last of 9 at Sale Bm70 on September 11 over 1206m, 7 len behind Peace Treaty carrying 58.5kg at $17. Last start 9th of 11 at Benalla Bm70 on September 27 over 1206m, 6 len behind Red Dates carrying 58kg at $26. Likely improver who is among the main chances.
10. 10. Rons Finest Choice
J: JAKE NOONANT: CLIFF BROWN
F: 717
Price History:
8.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
23
Verdict
Most recently 7th of 10 at Bendigo 0 - 64 on September 25 over 1300m, 2.75 len behind Willmott with 59kg at $17. The run before that won by 1.5 len at Moe Mdn-Sw August 18 over 1217m on a soft track defeating Alotofsoju carrying 59.5kg at $4. Has ability but might struggle again.
4. 4. Pride Of Galway
J: JASON MASKIELLT: LEN XUEREB
F: 450x1
Price History:
10.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
22
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after three months settled well back; won by 1.3 len at Geelong 0 - 62 September 26 over 1447m on a rain affected track defeating Snick with 59.5kg at $21. Previously second-up 4th of 10 at Sale Bm64 on June 11 over 1212m, on a wet track; 2.75 len behind Struck Gold with 60kg at $41. Still has scope for improvement and is among the better hopes.
12. 12. Hot Chilli Mama
J: WILL PRICET: JOHN SADLER
F: 60418
Price History:
26.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
57
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Most recently did the work up front then tired 8th of 10 at Wangaratta F&M Bm58 on October 8 over 1170m, 5 len behind Villainesque carrying 60kg at $9. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 1.3 len at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw September 22 over 1200m defeating Echuca Moama with 57.5kg at $7. Happy to overlook.
13. 13. De La Rocha
J: LUKE CARTWRIGHTT: DAVID CAVE
F: 35967
Price History:
31.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
54
Days Since Last Run:
26
Verdict
Last start 7th of 13 at Bairnsdale 0 - 58 on September 22 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Laugh With Me carrying 54kg at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 12 at Tatura Bm58 on September 10 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Frankie Two Angels carrying 54kg at $8.50. Doubt he will threaten these.
14. 14. Peppino
J: TEODORE NUGENTT: DAMIEN WALKLEY
F: 58x99
Price History:
51.00
Age:
10
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
53
Days Since Last Run:
39
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Freshened for 39 days. First-up 9th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm58 on August 25 over 1400m, 5.5 len behind Le Derriere with 55kg at $41. Last start second last of 10 at Bairnsdale Bm58 on September 9 over 1600m, 7 len behind Kyokushin with 54.5kg at $41. Not going well and is likely to struggle.

Non-Runners

6. 6. Superior Zara
J: LUKE CARTWRIGHTT: SIMON ZAHRA
F: 81231
Price History:
-
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
33
8. 8. Itsukushima
J: MS DAKOTAH KEANET: BEN, WILL & JD HAYES
F: 2112x
Price History:
9.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
166
Verdict
Is first-up after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Sale 0 - 64 May 5 over 1511m, 2 len behind Little Jack with 59kg at $2.90. First up last campaign second of 13 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw January 2 over 1400m, a nose behind Aerial Bay carrying 59.5kg at $5.50. Consistent type, should be thereabouts.
3. 3. Saint Lazare
J: LOGAN BATEST: LLOYD KENNEWELL & LUCY YEOMANS
F: 2210x
Price History:
8.50
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
66
Days Since Last Run:
216
Verdict
Resuming. Finished off last preparation second last of 15 at Caulfield Country Mile March 16 over 1600m, 9 len behind Titan Of Choice with 55kg at $21. When resuming last campaign second of 9 at Wangaratta Bm58 January 11 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Kodiak with 61kg at $17. Will need this hitout.
11. 11. Hampton Queen
J: DANIEL STACKHOUSET: PHILLIP STOKES
F: 12x75
Price History:
9.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
22
Verdict
Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 9 at Cranbourne Cl1 on September 5 over 1200m, on a slow track; 5.5 len behind Thames carrying 57.5kg at $8. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Geelong 0 - 62 on September 26 over 1447m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Pride Of Galway carrying 58kg at $8. Worth following up.
7. 7. Fire Wheel
J: RHYS MCLEODT: NICK RYAN
F: 21x80
Price History:
19.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
40
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resumes off a 40 day letup. Resuming got back early 8th of 12 at Swan Hill Bm64 on August 2 over 975m, 2.75 len behind Simple Times carrying 60kg at $26. Second-up ran last of 11 at Bendigo Bm64 on September 8 over 1000m, 4.5 len behind Missed The Mark carrying 60kg at $61. Likely to struggle.
9. 9. Sleeper
J: BLAIKE MCDOUGALLT: BEN, WILL & JD HAYES
F: 13x8x
Price History:
26.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
154
Verdict
Resuming. Finished off last campaign ran last of 8 at Cranbourne Bm64 on May 17 over 1300m, 6 len behind From Pantherland with 59kg at $12. When resuming last campaign 4th of 9 at Arawa Park Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 1400m, on heavy track; 3 len behind The Odyssey carrying 58.5kg at $4.40. Will need this run.

Pakenham

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