Gunbower

Today, October 5, 2024Flat1m

Verdict

DANTE'S PEAK (1) was only beaten by a head at Coleraine as favourite 8 days ago when storming home late. The extra 200m is ideal and he is also dropping in class. He is set to go one better. Follow your money. PREFER US (8) just battled last start at Sandown-Hillside over 2400m in a far stronger field and will notice the drop in grade here. He won't lack fitness and can't be risked. Each way. TAVISTOCK DANCER (7) finished behind the second pick in the same race last start and is much better placed in this lineup. He has been out of form for some time but that is set to change in this. Each way value. GRAND ILLUSION (6) is racing his way into full fitness and has the blinkers back on. He is not out of this and is worth including in all combinations.

1. Dantes Peak
8. Prefer Us
7. Tavistock Dancer

Win Only

1. 1. Dantes Peak
J: LACHLAN KINGT: CARLY COOK
F: 06402
Price History:
3.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
Most recently 2nd of 12 at Coleraine 0 - 58 on September 27 over 1600m, neck behind Vampire Miss carrying 57kg at $4.50. Before that second last of 11 at Hamilton Bm58 on September 16 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 7 len behind State Of Maine carrying 58kg at $10. Expected to go close with repeat of latest.
8. 8. Prefer Us
J: JACKIE BERIMANT: JOHN SALANITRI
F: 69058
Price History:
4.20
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
At the latest run 8th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Bm64 on September 18 over 2400m, 9 len behind Muktamil with 54.5kg at $26. The race before that 5th of 9 at Tatura Bm64 on September 10 over 1980m, 3 len behind Wanjiru with 54.5kg at $6.50. Has ability and can turn things around.
9. 9. Sweet Bella
J: MILOS BUNJEVACT: C J DAVIS
F: x7906
Price History:
7.50
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Most recently 6th of 11 at Bendigo 0 - 64 on September 25 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Theophilus carrying 54kg at $81. Before that ran last of 10 at Wagga Aggies Cup on September 21 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Jaz Tycoon carrying 55kg at $26. Rates highly and is worth including.
4. 4. Cesar Bessan
J: RYAN HURDLET: BRAD COLE
F: 04582
Price History:
8.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
51
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Last start 2nd of 12 at Jerilderie Bm50 on September 28 over 1400m, 0.6 len behind White Foot carrying 59kg at $10. The start before that got back early 8th of 11 at Donald 0 - 58 on September 14 over 1356m, 7 len behind Murray Factor carrying 57.5kg at $26. Not far away last time. Has ability and can measure up.
6. 6. Grand Illusion
J: ADAM MCCABET: DANIEL WILLIAMS
F: x0566
Price History:
8.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
51
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Last start eased back early on 6th of 11 at Bairnsdale 0 - 58 on September 22 over 2200m, 6 len behind Warchime with 57kg at $10. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 13 at Wangaratta 0 - 58 on August 24 over 2000m, slow going 5.5 len behind King's Reign carrying 57.5kg at $21. Has been out of the money recently but finds the right race this time and gets his chance to feature.
10. 10. The Ballet Dancer
J: JAKE DUFFYT: PAT CAREY & HARRIS WALKER
F: 00690
Price History:
9.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
5
Verdict
Last start second last of 12 at Moe Bm58 on September 30 over 1619m, slow going 13 len behind Ripplebrook carrying 56kg at $21. The start before that 9th of 11 at Mornington F&M Bm58 on September 6 over 1500m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Big Kate with 59kg at $19. Not keen on her chances.
7. 7. Tavistock Dancer
J: CORY PARISHT: M & L CERCHI
F: 46409
Price History:
8.50
Age:
9
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
51
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
At the latest run second last of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Bm64 on September 18 over 2400m, 10 len behind Muktamil carrying 51kg at $15. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 12 at Geelong Bm64 on September 13 over 2460m, 14 len behind Kodiak Bear with 54kg at $41. Better placed and expected to be in the finish.
5. 5. Earl Of Kendal
J: JADE DAROSET: NATHAN MCPHERSON
F: 859x0
Price History:
26.00
Age:
8
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
51
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after three months 11th of 13 at Bairnsdale 0 - 58 on September 22 over 1600m, 8 len behind Laugh With Me carrying 57.5kg at $151. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at Moe Bm58 on April 25 over 1628m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Fine Weather carrying 57kg at $19. Should improve but still looking elsewhere.
2. 2. Dentes Inferno
J: JOHN KEATINGT: EDWARD BOURKE
F: 05x00
Price History:
51.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
25
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming ran last of 14 at Wangaratta 0 - 58 on August 24 over 1300m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Copperfield with 58kg at $81. Second run from a spell second last of 11 at Tatura Bm58 on September 10 over 1600m, 19 len behind Play On Words with 58kg at $101. Doubt he will trouble these.
3. 3. Enzed Magic
J: STEPHEN BROWN JNRT: C J DAVIS
F: 56057
Price History:
71.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Most recently ran last of 7 at Swan Hill Bm58 on September 24 over 2400m, 75 len behind Luna Chara carrying 57kg at $81. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Griffith Cl1-Sw on September 14 over 1820m, 9 len behind Knightjar carrying 56kg at $21. Looks tested in this field.

Non-Runners

11. 11. Turin
J: BRITTANY BUTTONT: C J DAVIS
F: 05035
Price History:
-
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Most recently 5th of 10 at Wagga Cl1-Sw on September 21 over 2000m, 3.5 len behind Taumata carrying 54kg at $19. Before that 3rd of 7 at Griffith Cl1-Sw on September 14 over 1820m, 4.5 len behind Knightjar carrying 54kg at $2.90. Has ability and is a definite top-three hope.
14. 14. Mr Monegasque
J: SHERIDAN CLARKET: JOHN MOLONEY
F: 0x990
Price History:
23.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
29
Verdict
Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn 11th of 13 at Mornington Bm58 on September 6 over 2050m, slow going 4 len behind Sacred Kenshi with 54kg at $101. Before that 9th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm58 on August 19 over 1600m, 7 len behind Bon Appetit with 57kg at $61. Not keen.
12. 12. Sir William Bruce
J: -T: JOHN D PEARSON
F: 10000
Price History:
34.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
At the latest run raced on the pace before fading second last of 14 at Echuca 0 - 58 on September 21 over 1400m, 9 len behind Slate Ripper with 57kg at $26. The start before that struggled in the run home; second last of 14 at Wangaratta 0 - 58 on August 24 over 1300m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Copperfield with 55kg at $14. Will need to improve sharply on recent form.
13. 13. Peace Process
J: NATHAN PUNCHT: BELINDA SIMPSON
F: f7x80
Price History:
81.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
5
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 8 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm64 on August 30 over 1400m, 14 len behind Smart Deel carrying 55kg at $151. Second-up ran last of 12 at Moe Bm58 on September 30 over 1619m, slow going 20 len behind Ripplebrook with 55kg at $151. Can't have on recent performances.

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