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Doomben

Today, October 5, 2024Flat5f

HEADWALL (7) made up a stack of ground in a harder race at Flemington last time out and will find this assignment much more to his liking. The step-up to the 1200m now looks ideal and will be at his peak fourth-up from the spell. Rates the testing material. TRIBECA STAR (9) is one from one over this course and distance and rarely puts in a poor one. Cannot be discounted. RALPHIE (3) got the job done at the Gold Coast at the latest effort and Mallyon stays on top. In the mix. SAFEWORK (5) is a three-time winner at this circuit and can trouble the judge with any luck from the sticky draw. BUBBA'S BAY (1) is two from two here, draws the inside alley and gets 3kg off with the claim. Ticks a few boxes.

  • 7. Headwall
  • 9. Tribeca Star
  • 3. Ralphie
Win Only
  • 7. 7. Headwall
    J: RYAN MALONEYT: MATTHEW SMITH
    F: 3x172
    Price History:
    2.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    81
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Last start 2nd of 14 at Flemington Bm78 on September 14 over 1100m, on a slow track; long-neck behind Moby Dick carrying 60.5kg at $12. The run before that 7th of 11 at Rosehill Bm78 on August 31 over 1100m, 4 len behind Briasa carrying 57.5kg at $4. Nice effort last time. One of the major players.
  • 9. 9. Tribeca Star
    J: JAMES ORMANT: MATTHEW DUNN
    F: 26x12
    Price History:
    3.25
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    80
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite; won by 1.3 len at Sunshine Coast Cl3-Sw August 28 over 1200m defeating Fortuneer with 60kg at $2.30. Second run from a spell 2nd of 7 at Eagle Farm Cl6-Sw on September 14 over 1200m, nose behind Manhood with 57kg at $2.50. Rates highly. Will take beating.
  • 1. 1. Bubbas Bay
    J: CODY COLLIST: KRIS LEES
    F: 1x330
    Price History:
    5.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    91
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently raced on the pace before fading ran last of 11 at Rosehill Bm88 on August 31 over 1200m, 9 len behind Fox Fighter carrying 56kg at $12. The start before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Rosehill Bm88 on August 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 0.9 len behind Kazou carrying 56kg at $9. Rates highly here and is among the leading chances.
  • 3. 3. Ralphie
    J: ANDREW MALLYONT: GARY DOUGHTY
    F: 65331
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    83
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Most recently won by 1.0 len at Gold Coast Cl6 September 21 over 1000m defeating Simbu with 58.5kg at $4. The race before that 3rd of 11 at this track Bm78 on September 7 over 1200m, nose behind Safework with 60.5kg at $10. No reason why he won't play a major role again.
  • 5. 5. Safework
    J: NOEL CALLOWT: SCOTT MORRISEY
    F: 03391
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    82
    Days Since Last Run:
    28
    Verdict
    Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at this track Bm78 September 7 over 1200m defeating Daytona carrying 60kg at $19. Before that second last of 10 at this track Cg&E Bm78 on August 17 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Daytona carrying 57.5kg at $17. Excellent prospects in this suitable race.
  • 2. 2. Ovidius
    J: TAHLIA FENLONT: KEVIN KEMP
    F: 116x4
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    87
    Days Since Last Run:
    49
    Verdict
    Second run back. Comes off a 49-day let-up. First-up after three months 4th of 10 at this track Hcp on August 17 over 1110m, slow going 0.7 len behind My Snow Queen with 55kg at $41. Previously second-up came from midfield; 2nd of 7 at Beaudesert Hcp on November 4 over 1100m, slow going head behind Baronessa carrying 59kg at $7. Will find this too tough.
  • 14. 14. Godfather
    J: ANGELA JONEST: MATTHEW DUNN
    F: 92x12
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    76
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.7 len at Ipswich Cl5 August 19 over 1100m on a rain affected track defeating Clover's Prince carrying 59kg at $3.30. Second-up 2nd of 8 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on September 14 over 1000m, 4.5 len behind Wanda Rox with 59kg at $16. Can measure up.
  • 4. 4. Northern Pride
    J: MS NIKITA BERIMANT: TOM BUTTON
    F: 21181
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    82
    Days Since Last Run:
    8
    Verdict
    Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.9 len at Bowen Hcp September 27 over 1200m defeating Prime Ruler with 58kg at $5. Before that ran last of 8 at Cairns Hcp on September 13 over 950m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Yes Dream carrying 59.5kg at $5. This is much harder.
  • 12. 12. En Pointe
    J: MARTIN HARLEYT: ROBERT HEATHCOTE
    F: 1x600
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    81
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    At the latest run ran last of 10 at Gold Coast F&M Bm85 on September 21 over 1200m, 14 len behind Catwalk Criminal with 57kg at $19. Before that ran last of 10 at this track Hcp on August 17 over 1110m, on a slow track; 8 len behind My Snow Queen with 53kg at $11. Hard to see her playing a role.
Non-Runners
  • 8. 8. Emperor
    J: ANGELA JONEST: MATTHEW DUNN
    F: x7533
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    80
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Half-brother to Group 1 winner Joliestar. Group 3 placegetter. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast Cl6 on September 21 over 1000m, 2.75 len behind Ralphie with 59kg at $10. The start before that 3rd of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl6 on September 4 over 1000m, 2.25 len behind Reliable Ruby with 57kg at $3.80. Has ability and is one of the chances.
  • 13. 13. Navas Two
    J: JAG GUTHMANN-CHESTERT: ADAM CAMPTON
    F: 65303
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    77
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    At the latest run came home strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 7 at Eagle Farm Bm78 on September 20 over 1200m, 1.3 len behind Shot Of Whiskey with 56.5kg at $12. The start before that second last of 11 at this track Hcp on August 3 over 1630m, 9 len behind Arts Object carrying 55kg at $7. On latest effort is a definite winning hope.
  • 11. Release The Beans
    J: -T: ROBERT HEATHCOTE
    F: x00x7
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    78
    Days Since Last Run:
    31
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after five months second last of 8 at Sunshine Coast Cl6 on September 4 over 1000m, 5.5 len behind Reliable Ruby carrying 59kg at $21. Previously second-up ran last of 10 at Eagle Farm Bm88 on April 20 over 1200m, slow going 12 len behind Millane carrying 55.5kg at $41. Others make more appeal.

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